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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Random House (Apr 17, 2007)
Hardcover – 400 pages
ISBN: 1400063515 / 9781400063512
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan;...